Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 7.5%. Yes opened at 54% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 54% on 27 Dec 2024 and the low 7.5% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 28% on 28 Dec 2024. $315.96K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Dec 2024 – 29 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2024 | 54.0% |
| 29 Dec 2024 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bogr | No | 43.31K |
| Garbuzov | No | 2.78K |
| Dccv | No | 503.79 |
| AliceSink | No | 317.65 |
| Moriia1 | No | 100 |
| Yvdsggg | No | 43.35 |
| PF10k | No | 11.72 |
| ArthurGreen | No | 0.15 |
| nedeshevka | No | 0.02 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Azerbaijan explicitly claims Russia is responsible for the downing of Flight J2-8243 on December 25, 2024, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Azeri government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Azerbaijan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/azerbaijan-claims-russia-responsible-for-downing-plane
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