Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.72 | $0.057 | $5.41 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 249.37 |
| $0.023 |
| $5.84 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.38 | $0.016 | $3.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 821.35 | $0.005 | $3.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 821.35 | $0.005 | $4.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.050 | $4.6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | sell | 21.98 | $0.260 | $5.71 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.230 | $4.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 330.03 | $0.029 | $9.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 324.55 | $0.033 | $10.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 165 | $0.036 | $5.94 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 468.44 | $0.013 | $6.25 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 159.56 | $0.034 | $5.37 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 444.32 | $0.020 | $9.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.044 | $3.51 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 133.56 | $0.058 | $7.74 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 133.56 | $0.058 | $7.75 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.050 | $2.35 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | sell | 31.92 | $0.910 | $29.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 31.92 | $0.780 | $24.9 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?No | sell | 76.22 | $0.974 | $74.2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?No | buy | 76.22 | $0.793 | $60.44 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | sell | 27.78 | $0.830 | $23.06 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | buy | 217.41 | $0.589 | $128.15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 414.9 | $0.205 | $85.15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 619.66 | $0.212 | $131.37 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?No | sell | 165.52 | $0.790 | $130.76 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 608.99 | $0.004 | $2.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 608.99 | $0.004 | $2.44 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?No | buy | 165.52 | $0.500 | $82.76 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 465.13 | $0.214 | $99.63 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 413.8 | $0.222 | $91.86 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 204.64 | $0.655 | $134.01 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 204.64 | $0.599 | $122.58 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 146.28 | $0.838 | $122.58 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 146.28 | $0.837 | $122.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?No | sell | 182.75 | $0.670 | $122.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 124.5 | $0.822 | $102.34 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 124.5 | $0.831 | $103.46 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?No | sell | 158.25 | $0.653 | $103.34 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?No | buy | 158.25 | $0.799 | $126.48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 23.95 | $0.220 | $5.27 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | sell | 6.14 | $0.780 | $4.79 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 226.54 | $0.490 | $111 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 118.09 | $0.940 | $111 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 118.1 | $0.941 | $111.13 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | buy | 6.14 | $0.790 | $4.85 | Mar 2, 2026 |