Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82%. Yes opened at 71% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2024 to 9 Dec 2024, the highest close was 82.5% on 7 Dec 2024 and the lowest 71% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 82.5% on 7 Dec 2024. $69.35K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 9 Dec 2024, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 71.0% |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 82.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ljgd | No | 6.06K |
| ehsbhcv | No | 5.74K |
| vjfhy | No | 1.44K |
| uniqornabell | No | 450.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-sora-public-release-in-2024
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