Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.006 |
| $2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 196.01 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 939.32 | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.955 | $51.57 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.481 | $4.81 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Vivek out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.055 | $4.95 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 23 | $0.948 | $21.8 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 23 | $0.950 | $21.85 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.120 | $8.4 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.560 | $30.24 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.917 | $9.17 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?No | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Vivek out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Dec 13-20?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Assad public appearance before 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.510 | $4.4 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will "deny", "defend", and "depose" be in the manifesto?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.840 | $2.55 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.940 | $3.91 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will "deny", "defend", and "depose" be in the manifesto?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will @PepMangione release another video by Dec 11?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will @PepMangione release another video by Dec 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.770 | $6.16 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?No | buy | 6 | $0.670 | $4.02 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 3-4 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No | sell | 44.11 | $0.760 | $33.52 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.999 | $6.16 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.011 | $0.33 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.680 | $30 | Dec 7, 2024 |