Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 30 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 30.5% on 12 Apr 2025 and the low 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 14% on 31 Dec 2024. $1.63M traded over the market's life.
265 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 369 points · 30 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2024 | 25.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tepa | Yes | 47.79K |
| Immense-Tiger | Yes | 13.19K |
| WolfCharge | Yes | 12K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-emergency-rate-cut-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| greygooz | Yes | 12K |
| 9876543210 | Yes | 6.5K |
| Rodion575 | Yes | 3.92K |
| LowValue | Yes | 3.47K |
| crazychickenz | Yes | 3.02K |
| Supersloth21 | Yes | 2.81K |
| WethBet | Yes | 2.3K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
