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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.148 | $205.4 | -$58.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 168.64 | $0.160 | $26.98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1.6K |
| $0.026 |
| $40.8 |
| -$1.2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 599.98 | $0.036 | $2.7 | -$18.9 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.036 |
| $0.72 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.170 | $196.31 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.015 | $7.5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.044 | $8.8 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 451.4 | $0.017 | $7.67 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.75 | $0.025 | $2.04 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.021 | $1.26 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | sell | 99 | $0.090 | $8.91 | Jan 11, 2025 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 98.8 | $0.101 | $10 | Jan 11, 2025 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 200.39 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 96.5 | $0.023 | $2.22 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.044 | $8.8 | Jan 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 11, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 271.62 | $0.037 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 89.17 | $0.112 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.037 | $18.5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.035 | $0.7 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 325.7 | $0.031 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 348.28 | $0.029 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 826.37 | $0.024 | $20 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 336.67 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 378.15 | $0.026 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 378.38 | $0.037 | $14 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 532.26 | $0.038 | $20 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.014 | $15 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.013 | $16.75 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.82 | $0.023 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.059 | $60 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.058 | $58 | Sep 8, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.031 | $31 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.031 | $62 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.031 | $62 | Aug 12, 2024 |
US bank failure before September?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.094 | $127.19 | Aug 12, 2024 |