Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 38% on 1 Oct 2024. $119.65M traded over the market's life.
778 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2024 | 29.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pureddeee | No | 2.57M |
| Superior-Lasagna | No | 1.83M |
| HanHan | No | 1.48M |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", a ban mandated by US federal law, policy, or the court system must have gone into effect (as defined above) within the above-stated timeframe. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tiktok-banned-in-the-us-before-may-2025
| No |
| 1.32M |
| DireAhmed333 | No | 1.21M |
| Tan-Airmail | No | 1.17M |
| macumbas | No | 834.9K |
| FRonDeStantis | No | 791.33K |
| killermay | No | 728.03K |
| Cheap-Squeegee | No | 714.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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