Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 5, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBrazil Election 2026 World elections

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	10.82M	0.0%	$0
timetowander	Yes	1.01M	3.1%	$31.61K
Threadbare-Signal	Yes	895.44K	0.1%	$887.37
Remote-Testing	Yes	595.92K	0.0%	$0
debased	Yes	225.37K	0.0%	$0
kneelbeforetheking	Yes	193.4K	3.1%	$6.04K
Bigggggggg	Yes	146.41K	0.0%	$0	Jul 9, 4:03 PM UTC
Binotto	Yes	142.13K	1.4%	$2.04K
e46m3	Yes	125.91K	3.1%	$3.93K
ProfessionalPunter	Yes	120.82K	3.1%	$3.78K
Substantial-Service	Yes	120.32K	3.1%	$3.76K
NyetRisk	Yes	111K	0.0%	$0
betterfasterstronger	Yes	109.18K	3.1%	$3.41K
Cobalt Atlas A4C2	Yes	94.14K	3.1%	$2.94K	Jul 9, 3:31 PM UTC
balthazar	Yes	81.4K	3.1%	$2.54K	Jul 9, 3:31 PM UTC
forgotmydinner	Yes	61.85K	0.0%	$0
alex20011	Yes	57.76K	3.1%	$1.8K
flawfence	Yes	50K	2.4%	$1.19K
petanimal	Yes	40.15K	1.2%	$479.03
Lunar Sphinx 02CD	Yes	40K	0.1%	$39.96	Aug 5, 3:42 PM UTC
Hourglass	Yes	37.58K	3.1%	$1.17K
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	36.81K	3.1%	$1.15K	Jul 9, 10:23 PM UTC
8DDD	Yes	33.85K	0.0%	$0
kaxel78	Yes	33.85K	3.1%	$1.06K
UMAisawesome	Yes	31K	1.8%	$573.65
Cookedtan	Yes	29.61K	0.0%	$0
lissartter	Yes	28.06K	3.1%	$876.88
Euphemism	Yes	25.11K	1.9%	$475.22
akroll	Yes	24.68K	3.1%	$771.25
anoin123	Yes	24.54K	0.0%	$0
pd.unique	Yes	22.19K	3.1%	$693.33
HerrieDavis	Yes	20.45K	3.1%	$639.18
pollo07	Yes	20.12K	3.1%	$628.61
Royal Orbit BBF7	Yes	20K	0.1%	$19.98	Aug 12, 8:29 AM UTC
intermester	Yes	20K	0.1%	$19.98	Aug 23, 3:07 PM UTC
cry.eth2	Yes	19.59K	1.7%	$337.87
zerone777	Yes	19.08K	3.1%	$596.36
jason009	Yes	19K	0.1%	$18.98	Sep 15, 5:11 AM UTC
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	17.62K	0.0%	$0
Eduglower	Yes	16.78K	1.4%	$230.96
pup1	Yes	16.6K	3.1%	$518.73
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	16.51K	3.1%	$515.83	Jul 9, 3:05 PM UTC
winnerSpecter	Yes	16.09K	1.6%	$259.48	Jul 7, 5:37 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	15.71K	0.0%	$0
mildwindow27	Yes	14.58K	0.0%	$0
poposub	Yes	14.44K	0.0%	$-0.01
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	14.15K	0.0%	$0
iamhungry	Yes	14.1K	1.9%	$273.85
RobXK	Yes	13.28K	2.7%	$360.97
Likaseent	Yes	13.11K	3.1%	$409.81
Vale54holi	Yes	12.28K	3.1%	$383.85
chelseaquin	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	Sep 21, 3:27 PM UTC
gopfan2	Yes	10K	3.1%	$312.5
Humble-Monk	Yes	9.2K	0.0%	$0
mustbethewater	Yes	8.99K	3.1%	$278.52	Jul 8, 10:29 PM UTC
Baddie	Yes	8.87K	1.6%	$143.05
peepeepooppoop	Yes	8.49K	3.1%	$265.45
mfrancodec	Yes	8.45K	2.1%	$179.38
Starch	Yes	8.22K	1.6%	$132.65
klli27	Yes	7.37K	3.1%	$230.34
fourcoin15m	Yes	7.27K	3.1%	$227.16
JordanMooney	Yes	7.18K	3.1%	$224.07
welcomyfriend	Yes	6.89K	0.1%	$6.87
Shy-Note	Yes	6.81K	3.1%	$212.79
GingerMcKenna	Yes	6.71K	3.1%	$209.45
LynxTitan	Yes	6.49K	3.1%	$202.78
merod	Yes	6.18K	3.1%	$193.16
Siziriv	Yes	6.16K	3.1%	$192.5
picadasgalaxies	Yes	6K	0.1%	$6	Jul 22, 10:04 PM UTC
cwc909	Yes	5.55K	1.6%	$89.52
k1tten	Yes	5.47K	0.0%	$0
Amber Falcon BDA4	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	Oct 1, 1:47 AM UTC
Freedom-BY	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5
EdwardLewis	Yes	4.69K	3.2%	$150.4
diadjaid	Yes	4.5K	3.1%	$140.63
coali10	Yes	4.38K	0.0%	$0
0x49F206	Yes	4K	1.7%	$69.68
YYV	Yes	3.7K	0.0%	$0
mlferker	Yes	3.62K	0.0%	$0
shine	Yes	3.57K	3.2%	$114.15
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.45K	3.2%	$110.44
korda77	Yes	3.41K	3.1%	$106.58
rated	Yes	3.24K	2.9%	$93.51
Rapid Horizon DDDA	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3	Aug 1, 11:45 AM UTC
Silver Meteor 3CC8	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3	Aug 1, 12:56 PM UTC
hysteria-starter	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3
YouSayUpISayDown	Yes	2.9K	3.1%	$90.55
Vess	Yes	2.5K	0.1%	$2.5
Perfect-Neighbourhood	Yes	2.27K	3.1%	$71.03
mymacbook	Yes	2.12K	0.0%	$0
Fffff5	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
Tenebrus7	Yes	2K	3.1%	$62.5
avengers2357avengers	Yes	1.88K	3.1%	$58.69
LR1	Yes	1.8K	1.5%	$27.61
Tee1000	Yes	1.72K	2.3%	$39.33
Boring-Pew	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
ACara	Yes	1.46K	0.2%	$2.92
mapleggg	Yes	1.36K	3.1%	$42.59
win-at-all-cost	Yes	1.35K	0.0%	$0
lovelaker	Yes	1.35K	0.2%	$2.7
chanjason	Yes	1.34K	0.2%	$2.68
Deafening-Possible	Yes	1.2K	0.1%	$1.2
BohdanI	Yes	1.16K	0.0%	$0
GrokEnjoyer	Yes	1.11K	3.1%	$34.72
haveagoodday	Yes	1.09K	3.1%	$34.01
Probable-Pickaxe	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
darksoul238	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Sep 14, 2:49 PM UTC
Rapid Voyager 266E	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 1, 7:23 PM UTC
Lunar Raven 9D0E	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 2, 5:28 AM UTC
TeaLover	Yes	1K	1.8%	$18.52
farcrak	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Misty Atlas 5CD6	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 2, 7:10 PM UTC
Solar Kestrel 0A74	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 1, 4:45 AM UTC
Crimson Ledger A7BA	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 2, 4:59 PM UTC
Windbreeze	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 23, 8:05 PM UTC
EternalObl1vion	Yes	1K	1.8%	$18.06
itsjustcheddar	Yes	860	3.1%	$26.87
Athletic-Manager	Yes	822.72	1.9%	$15.39
Kevin-Warsh	Yes	758.6	3.1%	$23.71
fireponbabylon	Yes	701.1	1.6%	$11.12
Silver Raven B802	Yes	687	3.1%	$21.47
123987456	Yes	642.22	3.1%	$20.07
RaymondVan	Yes	610	2.1%	$12.86
El-Coronel	Yes	600	1.7%	$10.16
Ainocry.	Yes	568.91	3.1%	$17.78
products	Yes	541.66	0.0%	$0
landofsunrise	Yes	510	0.2%	$1.02
.moar.766Dd-94077Cc94527BC6	Yes	500	3.1%	$15.63
samuelcat	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Faraway-Camper	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Profitable-Glue	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
WizeWins	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
5defps	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
sciuboi	Yes	500	3.1%	$15.63
Emerald Signal 8B8D	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
JustClickeverywhere	Yes	453.21	0.0%	$0
PiEDawg	Yes	384.03	3.1%	$12
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	364.44	0.0%	$0
Silver Voyager C060	Yes	350	0.1%	$0.35	Jul 27, 8:35 PM UTC
yzhaobk-nrt	Yes	348.94	0.0%	$0
Joskin	Yes	347.77	1.6%	$5.61
Hjklm	Yes	333.58	3.1%	$10.42
scotsban	Yes	265.52	3.1%	$8.3
Tricky-Overload	Yes	250	0.0%	$0
d4d5	Yes	250	0.1%	$0.25
kabulka	Yes	240	0.2%	$0.48
username-is-not-taken	Yes	237	3.2%	$7.61
clutchdaddy	Yes	201	0.0%	$0
5-min	Yes	200	0.1%	$0.2
deezytrading	Yes	200	0.0%	$0
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	199.99	3.1%	$6.25
Azure Comet B6BD	Yes	161.31	0.0%	$0
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	158.07	2.8%	$4.36
0x3948jdk97h75g	Yes	150	3.1%	$4.69
Spicy-Boulder-Chocolate	Yes	144.66	0.2%	$0.29
pp155	Yes	144.64	2.7%	$3.86
LesterDiamond	Yes	125.16	3.1%	$2.97
volokolasik333	No	116.34	99.9%	$116.22	Jul 19, 1:20 PM UTC
Lunar Tide 00C3	Yes	104.65	0.0%	$0
Loyal-Aggression	Yes	102	0.0%	$0
CT-GabaINV	Yes	100	0.0%	$0
Drangtian	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
fm14	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Dr.Sharif	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1	Jul 19, 4:51 AM UTC
ma99	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Vetal001	Yes	100	3.1%	$3.13
akunai	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
AheadArbitrage	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1	Aug 12, 8:37 AM UTC
cash-pony	Yes	100	1.6%	$1.61
JoE	Yes	99.4	0.0%	$0
nella-officiis	Yes	98.78	0.0%	$0
Sm1	Yes	97.1	2.1%	$2.1
quarkie	Yes	90	3.1%	$2.81
swallows	Yes	86.21	3.1%	$2.69
kunsect77	Yes	84.97	3.1%	$2.66
paspor	Yes	83	3.1%	$2.59
vamosgaming	Yes	75	3.1%	$2.34
Amber Horizon 6EB5	Yes	70	2.7%	$1.89
jennylulu2016	Yes	62	1.6%	$1
gamblingbling	Yes	56	2.6%	$1.46
GutoGalego	Yes	50	1.4%	$0.71
montty	Yes	50	0.0%	$0
.Menthe	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
justarandomaccount	Yes	50	0.0%	$0
RidelFishing	Yes	49.99	0.0%	$0
Misty Scout 150A	Yes	40	0.0%	$0
yzhaobk	Yes	40	0.0%	$0
PollyForge	Yes	40	2.2%	$0.82
allofit	Yes	40	3.2%	$1.29
Deadnessus	Yes	35	2.6%	$0.89
Brave-Timbale-Witch	Yes	34.99	3.1%	$1.09
nrnn	Yes	32.98	0.0%	$0
jjej	Yes	30	0.0%	$0
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
BigFishSushiChief	Yes	27	0.0%	$0
Vincent123	Yes	25.02	3.2%	$0.8
Fat-Wall	Yes	25	3.1%	$0.78
nonetouch	Yes	25	0.0%	$0
Loose-Spirituality	Yes	22.75	0.0%	$0
shukicarpenter	Yes	22.48	0.0%	$0
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	22.07	3.1%	$0.69
Golden Sphinx AB2F	Yes	21	1.3%	$0.28
cash-machine	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
2DB	Yes	20	50.0%	$10
worldcrypto	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
pestanimal	Yes	20	1.6%	$0.32
OsmarVado	Yes	20	1.7%	$0.34
TurtleFlair	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
wankerjoesleeper	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
labistiiia	Yes	19.83	0.1%	$0.02
Pollyna	Yes	18	0.0%	$0
w2b0bad8	Yes	17	3.1%	$0.53
miyavr	Yes	15.13	3.1%	$0.48
Clear-Sleep	Yes	15.06	3.1%	$0.46
daiquiri	Yes	15	0.0%	$0
Dstrd	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
horse729	Yes	13.32	3.1%	$0.42
givimavrodik	No	13.01	99.9%	$13
Lunar Kestrel 571D	Yes	12	0.1%	$0.01	Aug 11, 7:55 PM UTC
babyalgo	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
RockyPoint	Yes	10	3.1%	$0.31
Jzhang21	Yes	10	3.1%	$0.31
sinesimd.1	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
sd4f5g67h8j9	Yes	10	2.4%	$0.24
Neon Raven 6F6D	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
ElonButler	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
test456y78	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
testcashmaker	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
yes-yes-no	Yes	10	3.1%	$0.31
svoter	Yes	8.65	3.1%	$0.27
suvarnahabibi	No	7.99	99.9%	$7.98	Jul 6, 4:32 PM UTC
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	6	1.6%	$0.1
luminae	Yes	5.67	3.1%	$0.18
Slothtrop	Yes	5.19	0.1%	$0.01
Endymion	Yes	5.13	0.0%	$0
Unique-Index	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
klankerdude	Yes	5	3.1%	$0.16
denso	Yes	5	1.6%	$0.08
lidongyao	Yes	5	1.6%	$0.08
Ronin23	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
vitalikbt	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Poised-Rivulet	Yes	5	3.1%	$0.16
White-Donkey	Yes	3.38	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	2.5	3.1%	$0.08
Bright Beacon B904	Yes	2	1.6%	$0.03
Bold Meteor 671D	No	1.01	99.9%	$1.01
melonmanm	Yes	1	3.1%	$0.03
titango	Yes	1	0.0%	$0
thdfhdrt	Yes	0.51	2.4%	$0.01
Faurif	No	0.24	99.9%	$0.24
Wordy-Socialist	No	0.15	99.9%	$0.15

251 of 251 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$10.82M
volokolasik333	$116.34
givimavrodik	$13.01

Topic room

Read this market in context

Brazil Election 2026 oddsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
World elections oddsWhat do prediction markets say about the next national elections?

Research behind the numbers

Brazil Election 2026: runoff, polls, odds and results
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Brazil election polls vs Polymarket odds: what the numbers mean
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
Brazil election results 2026: when counting starts and where to check
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.

Analytics