Latest trade
Oct 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Athletic-Manager is down $6.11K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Oct 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:35 PM UTC.
$96.01 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Aug 4, 2026 UTC to Oct 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 278.77 | $0.359 | $58.4 | -$41.6 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$3.29K | $3.36K | 10 | 6 | 66.7% | $1.62K |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 877.19 | $0.610 | $535.09 | 19d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 21:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.49K and losing ones cost $28.8K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.03K on “Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $7.49K on “Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?” (No).
It first traded on 21 Jun 2026 and most recently on 8 Oct 2026. It has traded 389 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($3.36K). Its open positions are worth $115.34 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 357.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $55.36 |
| -$44.64 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.33K | $0.279 | $1.17 | -$651.32 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 817.96 | $0.122 | $0.41 | -$99.59 |
| sell |
| 2.81K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.41K |
| 19d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 864.1 | $0.160 | $138.26 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 576.07 | $0.160 | $92.17 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 768.09 | $0.280 | $215.07 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.07K | $0.294 | $902.62 | 23d ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 109.09 | $0.879 | $95.89 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.405 | $40.5 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.001 | $2.62 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.279 | $27.94 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.401 | $40.09 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.408 | $40.78 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.146 | $36.59 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes | sell | 516.69 | $0.029 | $14.9 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 109.08 | $0.881 | $96.13 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.88K | $0.060 | $112.5 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 2.27K | $0.620 | $1.41K | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.1K | $0.360 | $1.12K | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.194 | $300 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 274.02 | $0.547 | $150 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 279 | $0.492 | $137.21 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 308.03 | $0.325 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 250.51 | $0.599 | $150 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 4.97K | $0.960 | $4.78K | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?No | sell | 398.69 | $0.253 | $100.87 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?No | buy | 797.38 | $0.251 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 218.18 | $0.229 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Yes | sell | 244.8 | $0.380 | $93.02 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 592.34 | $0.084 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?No | buy | 350.04 | $0.286 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 659.8 | $0.127 | $84.07 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?No | buy | 189.91 | $0.053 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 517.03 | $0.058 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.605 | $1.52K | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.822 | $1.04K | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?Yes | buy | 568.75 | $0.088 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Yes | buy | 244.8 | $0.408 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?No | buy | 555.05 | $0.036 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?Yes | sell | 252.66 | $0.108 | $27.27 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?Yes | sell | 405.4 | $0.066 | $26.76 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?Yes | sell | 730.55 | $0.032 | $23.38 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?Yes | buy | 252.67 | $0.119 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?Yes | buy | 405.41 | $0.074 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
4 of 7 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.