Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$57.4K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 21%. Yes opened at 78% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 12 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 82% on 26 Jul 2026 and the lowest 58% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 59.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $57.45K traded over the market's life.

62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 50%–90%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jul 2026	78.0%
12 Aug 2026	79.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.72K
VvVvV	Yes	4.52K
limolium	Yes	605
alihassan77	Yes	600

10 of 62 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.