Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 700 | $0.606 | $444.5 | +$20.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 19h ago |
|
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.702 |
| $357.5 |
| +$6.5 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.205 | $295 | +$89.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.540 | $282.49 | +$12.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.510 | $252.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 396.64 | $0.520 | $228.07 | +$21.82 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | Yes | 455 | $0.272 | $193.38 | +$69.63 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 223 | $0.570 | $172.83 | +$45.72 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? | Yes | 250 | $0.638 | $158.75 | -$0.86 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 400.01 | $0.352 | $140.6 | -$0.2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 249.99 | $0.560 | $138.74 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 240 | $0.610 | $134.4 | -$12 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | Yes | 190.99 | $0.718 | $122.23 | -$14.98 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | No | 170 | $0.726 | $121.55 | -$1.85 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? | Yes | 150 | $0.660 | $117 | +$18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.540 | $113 | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? | No | 170 | $0.594 | $104.55 | +$3.51 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.400 | $103.5 | -$16.5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | No | 150 | $0.660 | $101.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.139 | $95 | -$43.7 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 180 | $0.290 | $90.9 | +$38.7 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 300 | $0.352 | $85.5 | -$20.15 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $78.5 | -$1.5 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 100 | $0.648 | $76.5 | +$11.73 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.740 | $75.5 | +$1.5 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.720 |
| $18 |
| 19h ago |
 Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 75 | $0.595 | $44.65 | 19h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?No | buy | 45 | $0.720 | $32.4 | 19h ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 19h ago |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 19h ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | 3d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.690 | $172.49 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 6d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.566 | $45.27 | 6d ago |
 Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | 6d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.002 | $0.12 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.380 | $28.5 | 10d ago |
 Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 12d ago |
| Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | 12d ago |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.210 | $6.51 | 12d ago |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.210 | $6.51 | 12d ago |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.290 | $34.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.184 | $24.9 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.648 | $64.77 | 12d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 12d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.352 | $140.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.214 | $9.65 | 12d ago |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.589 | $35.35 | 13d ago |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.294 | $29.45 | 13d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 13d ago |
 Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 13d ago |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.231 | $18.44 | 13d ago |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.280 | $112 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.539 | $59.3 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 14d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.560 | $139.99 | 14d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.686 | $82.32 | 14d ago |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 447 | $0.381 | $170.46 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.417 | $31.25 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 522 | $0.600 | $313.3 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 235 | $0.170 | $39.95 | 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 13.04 | $0.071 | $0.93 | 14d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.220 | $14.52 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.220 | $14.52 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.220 | $19.58 | 14d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 400 | $0.887 | $354.79 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 592.21 | $0.132 | $78.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 424 | $0.148 | $62.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 201.74 | $0.330 | $66.57 | 14d ago |