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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.44K | $0.772 | $10.64K | +$1.04K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 473 | $0.511 | $241.66 | 8h ago |
|
| No |
| 12.22K |
| $0.755 |
| $10.45K |
| +$1.22K |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 11.5K | $0.607 | $7.88K | +$891.27 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.95K | $0.555 | $5.11K | +$1.25K |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6.67K | $0.688 | $4.83K | +$244.45 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3.84K | $0.906 | $3.7K | +$225.73 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.89K | $0.689 | $3.64K | +$956.72 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.12K | $0.860 | $2.92K | +$234.98 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 3.19K | $0.589 | $2.67K | +$785.65 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.51K | $0.882 | $2.48K | +$267.74 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.814 | $2.37K | +$106.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.13K | $0.259 | $2.34K | +$1.01K |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | No | 2.33K | $0.850 | $2.28K | +$298.78 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.44K | $0.633 | $2.11K | +$567.9 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.953 | $2.1K | -$14.43 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.27K | $0.840 | $2.1K | +$192.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.620 | $1.59K | +$211.08 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.72K | $0.433 | $1.54K | +$792.88 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 2.22K | $0.610 | $1.52K | +$166.65 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.56K | $0.761 | $1.48K | +$293.15 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.55K | $0.834 | $1.36K | +$59.51 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.510 | $1.19K | +$55.55 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.480 | $1.17K | +$99.99 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.510 | $1.1K | -$33.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.36K | $0.290 | $1.06K | +$84.06 |
| buy |
| 134.71 |
| $0.680 |
| $91.54 |
| 18h ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 997.04 | $0.830 | $827.54 | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 408.66 | $0.953 | $389.45 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 244 | $0.047 | $11.47 | 3d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 146.52 | $0.582 | $85.25 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.510 | $1.13K | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 562.19 | $0.220 | $123.47 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.86 | $0.967 | $24.03 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.48 | $0.898 | $103.74 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 60.85 | $0.290 | $17.65 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 390.15 | $0.280 | $109.24 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 146 | $0.670 | $97.82 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 498.82 | $0.150 | $74.82 | 11d ago |
 Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 15 | $0.668 | $10.02 | 12d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.360 | $453.37 | 12d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.096 | $289.83 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.088 | $144.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 709.32 | $0.100 | $70.93 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.11K | $0.100 | $1.11K | 14d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.62K | $0.984 | $2.58K | 15d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 5.56K | $0.600 | $3.33K | 17d ago |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 10K | $0.650 | $6.5K | 17d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 10K | $0.380 | $3.8K | 18d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.92K | $0.290 | $556.11 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 22.22K | $0.420 | $9.33K | 19d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 9.91K | $0.991 | $9.82K | 23d ago |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 380 | $0.900 | $342 | 24d ago |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.786 | $48.74 | 24d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 485 | $0.320 | $155.2 | 27d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 6.5K | $0.090 | $584.88 | 28d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 621.74 | $0.790 | $491.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming | sell | 55.51K | $0.510 | $28.31K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming | buy | 39.05K | $0.533 | $20.79K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming | buy | 17.96K | $0.625 | $11.23K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AAmaru Gaming | buy | 2.23K | $0.650 | $1.45K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 7.42K | $0.830 | $6.16K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.240 | $25.44 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.47 | $0.650 | $153.71 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 233.49 | $0.090 | $20.96 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 320.75 | $0.239 | $76.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.041 | $48.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 694.77 | $0.869 | $604.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 150.77 | $0.560 | $84.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.630 | $1.43K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics AND Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | buy | 294.01 | $0.036 | $10.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.65 | $0.210 | $9.59 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 556.38 | $0.730 | $406.16 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A | buy | 153.18 | $0.069 | $10.51 | Jul 27, 2026 |