Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $7 | -$493 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.885 | $1.44K | Jul 14, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.500 |
| $2.5 |
| -$497.5 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $1.5 | -$498.5 |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $1.5 | -$498.5 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.497 | $0.5 | -$496.75 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.494 | $0.5 | -$493.8 |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.5 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $0.5 | -$499.48 |
| buy |
| 67.75 |
| $0.690 |
| $46.75 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-02?No | buy | 1.73K | $0.530 | $916.75 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | buy | 291.11 | $0.880 | $256.18 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.948 | $1.89K | Apr 9, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.997 | $2.14K | Apr 6, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 907.4 | $0.990 | $898.33 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 65.66 | $0.930 | $61.06 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?Yes | buy | 119.67 | $0.983 | $117.63 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.920 | $80.96 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 225 | $0.730 | $164.25 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.388 | $388.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.007 | $7.26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.048 | $48.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.051 | $51.21 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1K | $0.574 | $574.08 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.941 | $1.16K | Mar 15, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.940 | $1.08K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 867.9 | $0.974 | $845.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 878.73 | $0.962 | $845.34 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 826.45 | $0.995 | $822.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 822.31 | $0.955 | $785.31 | Jan 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 298.45 | $0.997 | $297.55 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89K | $0.103 | $296.9 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes | buy | 177.17 | $0.796 | $141.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71K | $0.748 | $2.03K | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 486.86 | $0.993 | $483.45 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 219.2 | $0.981 | $215.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 142.45 | $0.978 | $139.29 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 60 | $0.700 | $42 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 129.99 | $0.700 | $90.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 730 | $0.986 | $719.78 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.999 | $1.29K | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 414.87 | $0.858 | $355.79 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 806.4 | $0.984 | $793.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | sell | 799.9 | $0.992 | $793.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 298.73 | $0.984 | $293.95 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No | buy | 293.95 | $0.990 | $291.01 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?Yes | buy | 170.5 | $0.760 | $129.58 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.995 | $597 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?No | buy | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes | buy | 53.9 | $0.969 | $52.23 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 63.05 | $0.986 | $62.17 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.963 | $48.15 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Gaza | buy | 189.07 | $0.995 | $188.12 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 271 | $0.995 | $269.65 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | buy | 40.25 | $0.990 | $39.85 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 63.05 | $0.985 | $62.1 | Oct 8, 2025 |