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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.56K | $0.460 | $3.3K | +$278.73 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.610 | $51.85 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.56K |
| $0.436 |
| $1.3K |
| +$615.59 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 3.97K | $0.282 | $1.25K | +$128.85 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 16.53K | $0.050 | $735.66 | -$91.01 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 355.98 | $0.795 | $297.24 | +$14.34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 745.82 | $0.425 | $290.87 | -$26.15 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 18.31K | $0.003 | $183.1 | +$128.17 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 678.93 | $0.250 | $179.92 | +$10.26 |
 Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 167.21 | $0.884 | $162.7 | +$14.89 |
 Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | 162.56 | $0.972 | $157.36 | -$0.61 |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 441.5 | $0.367 | $59.6 | -$102.36 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 85 | $0.610 | $51.85 | $0 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 301.38 | $0.167 | $42.49 | -$7.86 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 159.05 | $0.142 | $25.69 | +$3.09 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 354 | $0.348 | $25.49 | -$97.87 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 27.1 | $0.616 | $24.46 | +$7.77 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 24.25 | $0.180 | $22.52 | +$18.15 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.84 | $0.780 | $21.74 | -$2.31 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 24.67 | $0.669 | $18.53 | +$2.02 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.440 | $17.55 | -$39.65 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | Yes | 411.74 | $0.056 | $14.82 | -$8.14 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 46 | $0.140 | $14.03 | +$7.59 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 179.27 | $0.540 | $11.65 | -$85.25 |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.500 | $10 | -$1.99K |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.220 | $7.5 | -$14.5 |
| sell |
| 3.39K |
| $0.051 |
| $172.73 |
| 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.320 | $368 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 88.23 | $0.330 | $29.12 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 19.02 | $0.250 | $4.76 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 659.91 | $0.250 | $164.9 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 571.75 | $0.431 | $246.26 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.294 | $351.53 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 174.07 | $0.406 | $70.76 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.260 | $781.65 | 18h ago |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.52K | $0.001 | $2.52 | 2d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.85K | $0.050 | $992.72 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.009 | $11.53 | 10d ago |
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.023 | $1.24 | 10d ago |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 86.08 | $0.820 | $70.59 | 10d ago |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 91.07 | $0.830 | $75.59 | 10d ago |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 118.83 | $0.767 | $91.13 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4K | $0.440 | $1.76K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.96K | $0.003 | $14.88 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.590 | $714.49 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.63K | $0.580 | $6.17K | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.79K | $0.410 | $1.96K | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.350 | $400.08 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 169.16 | $0.760 | $128.56 | 11d ago |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 231.42 | $0.790 | $182.82 | 11d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 707.83 | $0.480 | $339.76 | 11d ago |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.860 | $3.39 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.690 | $2.52K | 12d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | 12d ago |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 231.42 | $0.810 | $187.45 | 17d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 159.05 | $0.142 | $22.59 | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 279.84 | $0.710 | $198.69 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.18K | $0.003 | $60.53 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.41K | $0.710 | $15.2K | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.18K | $0.003 | $60.53 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.09K | $0.008 | $80.75 | 22d ago |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.022 | $0 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.37K | $0.012 | $52.46 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 866.27 | $0.700 | $606.39 | 27d ago |