Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$9.4M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 5, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBrazil Election 2026

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	10.82M	0.0%	$0
DanNT93	Yes	2.47M	0.1%	$2.47K
timetowander	Yes	287.25K	3.1%	$8.98K	Oct 5, 12:58 AM UTC
Skinny-Helo	Yes	223.38K	0.2%	$407.05
coreso	Yes	199.58K	0.4%	$769.02
debased	Yes	186.79K	0.0%	$0	Oct 4, 10:46 PM UTC
John.Dee	Yes	170K	0.2%	$340
pirulirubeibe	Yes	151K	0.3%	$470.1
pvg23	Yes	150K	0.1%	$149.86	Oct 5, 2:14 PM UTC
McMurphy	Yes	145.74K	0.5%	$768.93
Remote-Testing	Yes	121.9K	0.0%	$0	Oct 5, 11:52 AM UTC
Substantial-Service	Yes	120.32K	3.1%	$3.76K
timecop1983	Yes	101.66K	0.4%	$404.54
Fallowby	Yes	100.81K	0.4%	$386.25
Cobalt Atlas A4C2	Yes	94.14K	3.1%	$2.94K	Oct 5, 5:35 AM UTC
Threadbare-Signal	Yes	76.91K	0.3%	$190.68
hempstock	Yes	67.12K	0.3%	$201.36
ManBearPigisrealimcereal	Yes	60K	0.1%	$59.94	Oct 5, 1:29 PM UTC
Bigggggggg	Yes	57.65K	0.0%	$0
EternalObl1vion	Yes	55.57K	0.5%	$306.92
forgotmydinner	Yes	52.77K	0.0%	$0	Oct 5, 7:03 AM UTC
Miojinho	Yes	50.49K	0.4%	$201.95
okada	Yes	48.41K	0.1%	$48.36
Swift Signal BF78	Yes	44.1K	0.5%	$224.32
NyetRisk	Yes	41.57K	0.0%	$0	Oct 5, 11:53 AM UTC
Pozzo	Yes	40K	0.4%	$172.22
CrazyDeLaCaks	Yes	38.83K	0.2%	$77.62
e46m3	Yes	38.33K	3.1%	$1.2K
alex20011	Yes	36.28K	3.1%	$1.13K
8DDD	Yes	33.85K	0.0%	$0
kaxel78	Yes	33.85K	3.1%	$1.06K
balthazar	Yes	31.2K	3.1%	$974.93
Complete-Ecosystem	Yes	30K	0.2%	$69.03
lissartter	Yes	27.73K	3.1%	$866.67
vic7	Yes	26.37K	0.8%	$200
Peupo012	Yes	25K	0.2%	$49.98
Safe-Craft	Yes	25K	0.3%	$65.72
akroll	Yes	24.68K	3.1%	$771.25
anoin123	Yes	24.54K	0.0%	$0
UMAisawesome	Yes	23K	1.8%	$426.21
pollo07	Yes	20.12K	3.1%	$628.61
Xavier05	Yes	20K	0.1%	$19.72
zerone777	Yes	19.08K	3.1%	$596.36
HerrieDavis	Yes	17.7K	3.1%	$553.17
Bombarda	Yes	17.69K	0.4%	$67.86
HelesT	Yes	17.21K	0.5%	$88.17
pup1	Yes	16.6K	3.1%	$518.73
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	15.71K	0.0%	$0
Academic-Phone	Yes	15.62K	0.4%	$61.76
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	14.83K	0.0%	$0
mildwindow27	Yes	14.58K	0.0%	$0
PizzaNatal	Yes	14.44K	0.5%	$72.21
poposub	Yes	14.36K	0.0%	$0
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	14.15K	0.0%	$0
Hedger87	Yes	13.7K	0.6%	$76.23
drtoken	Yes	13.33K	0.7%	$95.22
RobXK	Yes	13.28K	2.7%	$360.97
Likaseent	Yes	13.11K	3.1%	$409.81
Yearly-Pension	Yes	12.51K	0.7%	$87.59
Vale54holi	Yes	12.28K	3.1%	$383.85
Trim-Trowel	Yes	12.1K	1.6%	$195.13
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	10.46K	3.1%	$326.76
Seldonator	Yes	10.27K	0.4%	$42.62
Bare-Print	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	Oct 5, 1:08 PM UTC
gopfan2	Yes	10K	3.1%	$312.5
Wilmat23	Yes	10K	0.4%	$39.98
Profitable-Glue	Yes	9.51K	0.4%	$34.96
Humble-Monk	Yes	9.2K	0.0%	$0
mfrancodec	Yes	8.45K	2.1%	$179.38
Starch	Yes	8.22K	1.6%	$132.65
Euphemism	Yes	7.71K	2.0%	$156.62
klli27	Yes	7.37K	3.1%	$230.34
WarriorH	Yes	7.36K	3.1%	$230.09	Oct 5, 12:10 PM UTC
JordanMooney	Yes	7.18K	3.1%	$224.07
Shy-Note	Yes	6.81K	3.1%	$212.79
GingerMcKenna	Yes	6.71K	3.1%	$209.46
fourcoin15m	Yes	6.66K	3.1%	$208.25	Oct 5, 2:42 AM UTC
Carecainsano7	Yes	6.33K	0.3%	$19
Siziriv	Yes	6.16K	3.1%	$192.5
vitorloures	Yes	6K	0.5%	$30
the.legend.himself	Yes	6K	0.7%	$40.99
Scholarly-Voice	Yes	6K	0.2%	$11.99	Oct 5, 11:32 AM UTC
TestRider	Yes	5.23K	0.2%	$10.46
molho-gorgonzola	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10	Oct 5, 10:46 AM UTC
interisthebest	Yes	5K	0.6%	$30
swifter	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15
testebzai	Yes	5K	0.4%	$20
ccolombo	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10.6
EdwardLewis	Yes	4.69K	3.2%	$150.4
SpringlyFawl	Yes	4.5K	3.1%	$140.75
diadjaid	Yes	4.5K	3.1%	$140.63
coali10	Yes	4.38K	0.0%	$0
1centYes	Yes	4.22K	0.5%	$21.11
raphaelfla	Yes	4.21K	0.4%	$16.84
JPLP	Yes	4K	0.4%	$15.79
YYV	Yes	3.7K	0.0%	$0
Aryfer	Yes	3.7K	0.8%	$30.72
ValdimarRB	Yes	3.6K	0.5%	$18
shine	Yes	3.57K	3.2%	$114.15
w4gner	Yes	3.46K	0.8%	$25
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.45K	3.2%	$110.44
forthright1	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
peepeepooppoop	Yes	3.11K	3.1%	$97.24
Late-Triangle	Yes	2.95K	0.7%	$20
YouSayUpISayDown	Yes	2.9K	3.1%	$90.55
Haunting-Illiteracy	Yes	2.7K	0.6%	$16.2
merod	Yes	2.69K	3.1%	$84.01	Oct 5, 2:42 AM UTC
apostadormil	Yes	2.56K	0.6%	$15.36
ahourse	Yes	2.51K	0.5%	$12.54
Wicked-Drizzle	Yes	2.48K	0.2%	$4.96
Insignificant-Boar	Yes	2.33K	0.3%	$7
englebert	Yes	2.21K	0.5%	$11
Official-Deer-Downturn	Yes	2.2K	0.8%	$17.57
Neon Beacon C7BE	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2
Outrageous-Curtailment	Yes	1.91K	0.2%	$3.81
LR1	Yes	1.8K	1.5%	$27.61
Jesuschristsuperstar	Yes	1.7K	0.1%	$1.98
Sociable-Pound	Yes	1.7K	0.6%	$10.2
Dependent-Inscription	Yes	1.7K	0.4%	$6.8
Grave-Producer	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
Chilly-Manicure	Yes	1.64K	0.6%	$9.85
Nicolasro91	Yes	1.6K	0.5%	$8
Cassian37	Yes	1.5K	0.1%	$1.5	Oct 5, 12:33 PM UTC
dwedwd	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
mustbethewater	Yes	1.41K	3.1%	$43.68
CucaCapital	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$10
ACara	Yes	1.13K	0.6%	$6.76
kallbe	Yes	1.12K	0.4%	$4.92
GrokEnjoyer	Yes	1.11K	3.1%	$34.72
haveagoodday	Yes	1.09K	3.1%	$34.01	Oct 4, 9:33 PM UTC
7Ouros	Yes	1.05K	0.7%	$7.35
cry.eth2	Yes	1.03K	3.1%	$32.22
lmfAcc15	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Hasty-Clipboard-Trout	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
TeaLover	Yes	1K	1.8%	$18.52
Rtycb	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	Oct 5, 9:45 AM UTC
Insidious-Reform	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
seriomsm	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
Chanceseeker	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
Ptolemaios	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Untried-Shoes	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
ollongo	Yes	1K	0.4%	$4
brast	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 5, 2:07 PM UTC
eduardomflores1984	Yes	990	0.6%	$5.94
FilipeBalaka17	Yes	865	0.1%	$1.23	Oct 5, 5:10 AM UTC
Faint-Maize	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
Late-Mattock	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
Athletic-Manager	Yes	822.72	1.9%	$15.39
Familiar-Blackbird	Yes	774.34	0.2%	$1.55
itsjustcheddar	Yes	770	3.1%	$24.06
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	766.08	0.4%	$2.59
Kevin-Warsh	Yes	758.6	3.1%	$23.71
DreamZ-	Yes	714.29	0.7%	$5
SUPER-BRUNO	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
joaoteixeirajr	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Well-Lit-Embellishment	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
ttddaann	Yes	650	0.2%	$1.3
Variable-Listing	Yes	647.57	0.8%	$5
123987456	Yes	619.89	3.1%	$19.37
rodolfoliv	Yes	600	0.2%	$1.2
El-Coronel	Yes	600	1.7%	$10.16
Mustwiner	Yes	578.57	0.7%	$4.05
Ainocry.	Yes	568.91	3.1%	$17.78
ckswf	Yes	525	0.2%	$1.05
dgh54	Yes	525	0.2%	$1.05
Attached-Prairie	Yes	516.05	0.1%	$0.52
felipinh0	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Nikita2604	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Orell	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Weekly-Expedition	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Jade Falcon E180	Yes	480	0.5%	$2.28
copelandmichael	Yes	440	0.2%	$0.88
josaldanha	Yes	436	0.9%	$3.92
Troy168	Yes	435	0.6%	$2.61
ricardo00	Yes	433	0.2%	$0.87	Oct 5, 7:59 AM UTC
korda77	Yes	431.02	3.1%	$13.47	Oct 5, 2:42 AM UTC
briannamcdonald	Yes	425	0.2%	$0.85	Oct 5, 11:21 AM UTC
debrahicks	Yes	423	0.2%	$0.85
Apprehensive-Strand	Yes	412	0.5%	$2
moorekrystal	Yes	397	0.2%	$0.79
kaylaarmstrong	Yes	388	0.2%	$0.78
richardmarquez	Yes	387	0.2%	$0.77	Oct 4, 10:50 PM UTC
ZZzzz	Yes	370	0.6%	$2.02
5defps	Yes	366.67	0.6%	$2
Ulrych	Yes	361.43	0.6%	$2.26
Ardtysrt01	Yes	358.63	0.5%	$1.79
yzhaobk-nrt	Yes	348.94	0.0%	$0
Hjklm	Yes	333.58	3.1%	$10.42
03515646	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
ArgosDelta	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
BohdanI	Yes	330.01	0.0%	$0	Oct 4, 10:22 PM UTC
Beautiful-Toad	Yes	299.99	0.6%	$1.8
moon-k58-lad	Yes	290.1	0.0%	$0
Probable-Pickaxe	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
scotsban	Yes	265.52	3.1%	$8.3
Questionable-Mankind	Yes	262.78	0.7%	$1.71
jplauriano	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Expensive-Neurobiologist	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Ordinary-Buck	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Tricky-Overload	Yes	250	0.0%	$0
Treasured-Hog	Yes	222.22	0.9%	$2
Perfect-Neighbourhood	Yes	218.19	3.1%	$6.82
ordeepweb	Yes	202	0.5%	$1.01
clutchdaddy	Yes	201	0.0%	$0
MartinaCandombe	Yes	200	0.4%	$0.8
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
GustavoSS	Yes	200	1.0%	$2
Delightful-Mustard	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Insecure-Building	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Emerald Signal 8B8D	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
australes	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
deezytrading	Yes	200	0.0%	$0
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	199.99	3.1%	$6.25
gcersosimo	Yes	170	0.6%	$1.02
Hagakure	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Jovial-Fifth	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Clarinha23	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Well-Informed-Compliment	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Azure Comet B6BD	Yes	161.31	0.0%	$0
pd.unique	Yes	157.41	3.1%	$4.92
Wordy-Likeness	Yes	156	0.7%	$1.09
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
0x3948jdk97h75g	Yes	150	3.1%	$4.69
Feminine-Mutt	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Amusing-Sequel	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Triangular-Abbreviation	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
LesterDiamond	Yes	125.16	3.1%	$2.99
FuriusCamillus	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Frozen-Morning	Yes	125	0.4%	$0.5
0x348xserenoo	Yes	120	0.5%	$0.58
username-is-not-taken	Yes	118.5	0.0%	$0
Lunar Tide 00C3	Yes	104.65	0.0%	$0
Tee1000	Yes	101.59	3.1%	$3.16
helvetic-samba	Yes	100	1.2%	$1.16
CT-GabaINV	Yes	100	0.0%	$0
Drangtian	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
itabot2	Yes	100	0.9%	$0.9
Dr.Sharif	Yes	100	0.5%	$0.5
AheadArbitrage	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
JoE	Yes	99.4	0.0%	$0
nella-officiis	Yes	98.78	0.0%	$0
Sm1	Yes	97.1	2.1%	$2.1
quarkie	Yes	90	3.1%	$2.81
mymacbook	Yes	89.02	0.0%	$0
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
kunsect77	Yes	79.97	3.1%	$2.5
Amber Horizon 6EB5	Yes	70	2.7%	$1.89
Erses	Yes	69.82	1.6%	$1.05
Keen Raven 0DCB	Yes	63.38	0.5%	$0.32
jennylulu2016	Yes	62	1.6%	$1
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	60.01	3.1%	$1.88
win-at-all-cost	Yes	53.8	0.0%	$0
GutoGalego	Yes	50	1.4%	$0.71
montty	Yes	50	0.0%	$0
Stakyx	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
justarandomaccount	Yes	50	0.0%	$0
RidelFishing	Yes	49.99	0.0%	$0
Misty Scout 150A	Yes	40	0.0%	$0
yzhaobk	Yes	40	0.0%	$0
allofit	Yes	40	3.2%	$1.29
fgdjytdjy	No	39.6	99.9%	$39.56
jarvizz	Yes	34.48	2.9%	$1
sleNti	Yes	31.75	0.0%	$0
jjej	Yes	30	0.0%	$0
BigFishSushiChief	Yes	27	0.0%	$0
Vincent123	Yes	25.02	3.2%	$0.8
nonetouch	Yes	25	0.0%	$0
Loose-Spirituality	Yes	22.75	0.0%	$0
shukicarpenter	Yes	22.48	0.0%	$0
george-zevanakis	No	21.02	99.9%	$21
Golden Sphinx AB2F	Yes	21	1.3%	$0.28
worldcrypto	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
TurtleFlair	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
wankerjoesleeper	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
Brave-Timbale-Witch	Yes	19.99	3.1%	$0.62
miyavr	Yes	15.13	3.1%	$0.48
daiquiri	Yes	15	0.0%	$0
Ethical-Bamboo	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
Ivory Quasar 70A8	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
am85b	Yes	13.75	0.2%	$0.03
CaitlinDelgado485	No	13.73	99.8%	$13.7
w2b0bad8	Yes	12	0.1%	$0.01
gamblingbling	Yes	11	2.1%	$0.23
babyalgo	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
Jzhang21	Yes	10	3.1%	$0.31
sinesimd.1	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
Neon Raven 6F6D	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
test456y78	Yes	10	1.6%	$0.16
testcashmaker	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
NewsGurus	Yes	9.86	0.4%	$0.04
g4z3ll3	Yes	6.96	0.4%	$0.03
mapleggg	Yes	6.07	3.1%	$0.19	Oct 4, 9:40 PM UTC
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	6	1.6%	$0.1
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	6	0.1%	$0.01
soul.error	Yes	6	0.2%	$0.01
Endymion	Yes	5.13	0.0%	$0
ebashim.	Yes	5	1.5%	$0.08
Unique-Index	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
klankerdude	Yes	5	3.1%	$0.16
denso	Yes	5	1.6%	$0.08
lidongyao	Yes	5	1.6%	$0.08
Golden Horizon 54D0	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
Ronin23	Yes	5	0.4%	$0.02
jimceryt999	No	3.9	99.8%	$3.89
dsuozizhu470	No	3.51	99.6%	$3.5
Elijah8739	No	3.41	99.8%	$3.4
IsabelleTaylor350	No	3.21	99.8%	$3.2
BuyTheDip007	Yes	2.5	3.1%	$0.08
Bright Beacon B904	Yes	2	1.6%	$0.03
Late-Favorite	Yes	1.96	1.6%	$0.03
yangguang0511	Yes	1.65	0.1%	$0
EvaHanson390	No	1.6	99.7%	$1.6
melonmanm	Yes	1	3.1%	$0.03
tryrobo	Yes	1	0.1%	$0
titango	Yes	1	0.0%	$0
mygogogo	Yes	0.97	0.3%	$0
thdfhdrt	Yes	0.51	2.4%	$0.01
Wjisoo	No	0.44	99.7%	$0.43
Dependent-Convention	Yes	0.43	0.4%	$0
Keen Oracle 4A23	No	0.32	99.4%	$0.32
63sdf	Yes	0.28	0.1%	$0
svoter	Yes	0.11	3.1%	$0

322 of 322 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$10.82M
fgdjytdjy	$39.6
george-zevanakis	$21.02

Topic room

Read this market in context

Brazil Election 2026 oddsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Research behind the numbers

Brazil Election 2026: runoff, polls, odds and results
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Brazil election polls vs Polymarket odds: what the numbers mean
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
Brazil election results 2026: when counting starts and where to check
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.

Analytics