Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.73K | $0.405 | $4.15K | +$611 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.73K | $0.460 | $1.26K | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.53K |
| $0.836 |
| $1.36K |
| +$75.64 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 677.89 | $0.885 | $657.56 | +$57.56 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 681.82 | $0.880 | $548.86 | -$51.14 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 48.41K | $0.001 | $72.61 | +$24.25 |
| buy |
| 1.53K |
| $0.836 |
| $1.28K |
| 8d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 681.82 | $0.880 | $600 | 8d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 677.89 | $0.885 | $600 | 8d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 788.65 | $0.888 | $700 | 9d ago |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | sell | 426.96 | $0.834 | $355.96 | 9d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | sell | 682.6 | $0.555 | $379.18 | 9d ago |
| Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | buy | 682.6 | $0.840 | $573.41 | 12d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 890.87 | $0.898 | $800 | 12d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.897 | $17.94 | 12d ago |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 48.41K | $0.001 | $48.41 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6K | $0.380 | $2.28K | 14d ago |
 Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.855 | $145.35 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.820 | $62.32 | 20d ago |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?No | buy | 78.67 | $0.910 | $71.59 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 122 | $0.900 | $109.8 | 20d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 600 | $0.859 | $515.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?No | buy | 159 | $0.860 | $136.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US bank failure by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.900 | $225 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.29K | $0.157 | $831.05 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.36K | $0.187 | $1K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.34K | $0.326 | $1.74K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.28K | $0.187 | $986.78 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 650 | $0.900 | $585 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 600 | $0.991 | $594.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 740 | $0.860 | $636.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.860 | $516 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 600 | $0.920 | $552 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 600 | $0.870 | $522 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 463.85 | $0.981 | $455.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32K | $0.063 | $335.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.067 | $355.06 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.28K | $0.097 | $511.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.29K | $0.106 | $561.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.29K | $0.108 | $571.64 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.139 | $745.59 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.34K | $0.175 | $934.97 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | sell | 275.06 | $0.930 | $255.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No | sell | 499.36 | $0.963 | $480.75 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 847.31 | $0.985 | $834.62 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 506.4 | $0.868 | $439.56 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No | sell | 350 | $0.999 | $349.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.993 | $347.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 463.86 | $0.869 | $403.31 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 275.07 | $0.909 | $250 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Yes | buy | 429.39 | $0.932 | $400 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?No | buy | 439.95 | $0.909 | $400 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 600 | $0.410 | $246.03 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 615.28 | $0.926 | $570 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJakub Mensik | buy | 375 | $0.800 | $300 | Jun 2, 2026 |