Latest trade
Sep 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
McMurphy is down $3.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:31 AM UTC.
$18.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from May 19, 2026 UTC to Sep 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15.81K | $0.488 | $12.57K | +$4.85K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 09:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 09:31 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.3K and losing ones cost $5.76K across the latest 50 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.78K on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential…” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.78K on “Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Sep 2026. It has traded 96 markets. Its open positions are worth $12.84K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.340 |
| $266 |
| +$130 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.070 | $2.48 | -$5.23 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $0.71 | -$1.49 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $0.46 | -$1.25 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.080 | $0.16 | -$1.44 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.070 | $0.11 | -$0.6 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.007 | $0.08 | -$1.04 |
| buy |
| 659.41 |
| $0.440 |
| $290.14 |
| Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 305 | $0.440 | $134.2 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.022 | $25.47 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.022 | $0.17 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.022 | $0.16 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.022 | $0.15 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.43 | $0.022 | $0.16 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 812.72 | $0.022 | $17.88 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 400 | $0.606 | $242.4 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.23K | $0.024 | $100 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 502.81 | $0.440 | $221.24 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 174.61 | $0.440 | $76.83 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.440 | $6.72 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 43.46 | $0.440 | $19.12 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 26.31 | $0.440 | $11.58 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.440 | $628.57 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.440 | $4.57 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.440 | $3.93 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.440 | $6.29 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.440 | $31.43 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.440 | $2.36 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.440 | $15.71 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.440 | $0.79 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 630 | $0.440 | $277.2 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.440 | $0.79 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 90 | $0.440 | $39.6 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.93 | $0.440 | $5.25 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.440 | $1.42K | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.001 | $40 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.110 | $220 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.014 | $280 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 91.36 | $0.219 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.015 | $100 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.040 | $100 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 36.13K | $0.005 | $180.67 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.76K | $0.005 | $33.82 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.005 | $6.67 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.013 | $52 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.014 | $0.09 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 74.96 | $0.014 | $1.05 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.65 | $0.014 | $1.19 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.2 | $0.014 | $1.18 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 80.87 | $0.014 | $1.13 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 99.17 | $0.014 | $1.39 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.05 | $0.014 | $1.4 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.4 | $0.014 | $1.43 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.