Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 46.25 | $0.960 | $44.17 | -$0.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 2m ago |
 |
| No |
| 53.01 |
| $0.751 |
| $38.06 |
| -$1.75 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 46.25 | $0.780 | $35.61 | -$0.46 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | No | 40.67 | $0.865 | $34.77 | -$0.39 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 52.21 | $0.586 | $27.67 | -$2.93 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | No | 36 | $0.735 | $23.09 | -$3.37 |
 Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | No | 42 | $0.710 | $21.42 | -$8.4 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August? | No | 23 | $0.930 | $21.16 | -$0.23 |
 Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | 23.5 | $0.838 | $20.2 | +$0.51 |
 Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | No | 26.5 | $0.750 | $19.48 | -$0.4 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | No | 20.14 | $0.946 | $19.3 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 28 | $0.710 | $18.06 | -$1.82 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | No | 24 | $0.801 | $17.33 | -$1.9 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 23.12 | $0.750 | $17.22 | -$0.12 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 126.23 | $0.150 | $17.04 | -$1.89 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 62 | $0.430 | $16.43 | -$10.23 |
 Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | No | 50 | $0.320 | $15.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 21 | $0.650 | $13.55 | -$0.11 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | No | 13.51 | $0.936 | $13.37 | +$0.73 |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? | No | 173 | $0.230 | $12.98 | -$26.82 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | No | 122 | $0.130 | $12.81 | -$3.05 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | No | 16 | $0.804 | $12.42 | -$0.44 |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | No | 14.88 | $0.832 | $12.08 | -$0.31 |
 Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | No | 18 | $0.700 | $11.52 | -$1.08 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | Yes | 21.94 | $0.250 | $11.19 | +$5.7 |
| sell |
| 14.88 |
| $0.820 |
| $12.2 |
| 50m ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?No | buy | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | 59m ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
 Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.110 | $1.87 | 1h ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?Yes | sell | 25.83 | $0.013 | $0.34 | 1h ago |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.480 | $7.74 | 1h ago |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?No | buy | 60 | $0.870 | $52.2 | 1h ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.534 | $0.93 | 1h ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.534 | $0.93 | 1h ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 15 | $0.535 | $8.03 | 1h ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 15 | $0.534 | $8.01 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 1h ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.027 | $0.09 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.001 | $0 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.001 | $0 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.003 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 10?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.001 | $0 | 1h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.06 | $0.795 | $8 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.030 | $0.12 | 1h ago |
 Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.590 | $3.65 | 2h ago |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.110 | $0.94 | 2h ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.500 | $3.38 | 2h ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.780 | $41.34 | 2h ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | 2h ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.750 | $81.75 | 2h ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.450 | $2.03 | 3h ago |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 28 | $0.650 | $18.2 | 3h ago |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.204 | $10.2 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 74 | $0.480 | $35.52 | 3h ago |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 38 | $0.250 | $9.5 | 3h ago |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.470 | $2.29 | 4h ago |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.280 | $1.33 | 4h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?No | buy | 65 | $0.956 | $62.14 | 4h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | buy | 65 | $0.690 | $44.85 | 4h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 65 | $0.868 | $56.4 | 4h ago |
 Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?No | sell | 17.61 | $0.398 | $7.01 | 4h ago |
 Will Josh McNally win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 7.13 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4h ago |
 Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.001 | $0 | 4h ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.373 | $18.65 | 4h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.847 | $42.35 | 4h ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 4h ago |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.003 | $0 | 4h ago |
 Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4h ago |
 Will Alexa Murguía Trujillo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4h ago |
| Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4h ago |
 Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2No | buy | 25 | $0.807 | $20.18 | 5h ago |
 Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2No | buy | 25 | $0.700 | $17.5 | 5h ago |
 Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 5h ago |