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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 128.87 | $0.028 | $4.45 | +$0.86 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.07 | $0.390 | $3.54 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.7 |
| $0.670 |
| $4.39 |
| -$0.1 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 150.09 | $0.013 | $3.68 | +$1.74 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 7.52 | $0.760 | $3.57 | -$2.14 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 5.85 | $0.630 | $3.54 | -$0.15 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 6.01 | $0.460 | $3.49 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.5 | $0.320 | $3.48 | +$1.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.65 | $0.440 | $3.36 | +$0.43 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 115.82 | $0.023 | $2.72 | +$0.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.42 | $0.189 | $2.52 | -$0.77 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.88 | $0.172 | $2.17 | -$1.77 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 15.64 | $0.320 | $1.96 | -$3.05 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 73.65 | $0.022 | $1.95 | +$0.34 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 12.01 | $0.151 | $1.62 | -$0.2 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 293.57 | $0.006 | $1.61 | -$0.27 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 51.07 | $0.016 | $1.53 | +$0.73 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 5.41 | $0.440 | $1.27 | -$1.11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.49 | $0.590 | $1.15 | +$0.27 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 7.21 | $0.100 | $1.12 | +$0.4 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 7.44 | $0.290 | $1.08 | -$1.08 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | No | 7.64 | $0.470 | $1.07 | -$2.52 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 32.67 | $0.164 | $1.06 | -$4.29 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 7.93 | $0.240 | $1.03 | -$0.87 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.22 | $0.260 | $0.95 | -$1.96 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.56 | $0.024 | $0.95 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 13.35 |
| $0.300 |
| $4.01 |
| 8d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.25 | $0.490 | $4.04 | 8d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 77.69 | $0.053 | $4.12 | 8d ago |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 4.45 | $0.953 | $4.24 | 8d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.710 | $4.24 | 8d ago |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.850 | $4.27 | 8d ago |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 460.33 | $0.009 | $4.14 | 8d ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 6.51 | $0.731 | $4.76 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.900 | $4.86 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5.06 | $0.980 | $4.96 | 8d ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 8.22 | $0.576 | $4.74 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.66 | $0.580 | $5.02 | 8d ago |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | sell | 5.63 | $0.900 | $5.07 | 8d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.900 | $5.3 | 8d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 97.16 | $0.050 | $4.86 | 8d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.870 | $5.33 | 8d ago |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 6.46 | $0.830 | $5.36 | 8d ago |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.988 | $5.49 | 8d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.995 | $5.58 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.883 | $5.51 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.28 | $0.600 | $5.57 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.780 | $5.76 | 8d ago |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.941 | $5.85 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.974 | $6.13 | 8d ago |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | sell | 6.95 | $0.949 | $6.59 | 8d ago |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.940 | $6.67 | 8d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.27 | $0.950 | $6.91 | 8d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 8.98 | $0.770 | $6.91 | 8d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 69.76 | $0.102 | $7.12 | 8d ago |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.972 | $7.25 | 8d ago |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.28 | $0.880 | $7.29 | 8d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 14.19 | $0.520 | $7.38 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.900 | $7.39 | 8d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 8.12 | $0.931 | $7.56 | 8d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 10.03 | $0.750 | $7.52 | 8d ago |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.973 | $7.72 | 8d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.44 | $0.920 | $7.76 | 8d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 8.88 | $0.880 | $7.81 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 15.76 | $0.500 | $7.88 | 8d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 24.02 | $0.350 | $8.41 | 8d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 48.57 | $0.180 | $8.74 | 8d ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.909 | $9.21 | 8d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 11.85 | $0.770 | $9.12 | 8d ago |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 190.41 | $0.049 | $9.33 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 37.57 | $0.250 | $9.39 | 8d ago |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | sell | 10.56 | $0.920 | $9.72 | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 18.05 | $0.540 | $9.75 | 8d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 86.63 | $0.114 | $9.88 | 8d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 10.04 | $0.991 | $9.95 | 8d ago |