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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 230.77 | $0.780 | $197.31 | +$17.31 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 230.77 | $0.780 | $180 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 144 |
| $0.100 |
| $133.2 |
| +$118.8 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $99.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 295.84 | $0.096 | $55.62 | +$27.22 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 102.04 | $0.490 | $54.59 | +$4.59 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.066 | $32.3 | +$19.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $29 | +$9 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.049 | $26.5 | +$16.7 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 236.23 | $0.077 | $18.43 | +$0.24 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.086 | $18.3 | +$1.1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 146.54 | $0.040 | $17.37 | +$11.5 |
 Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.030 | $17.15 | +$15.4 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $13.3 | +$3.28 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $13 | -$5 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200.02 | $0.044 | $11.3 | +$2.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.100 | $11 | -$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat? | No | 150 | $0.100 | $9.75 | -$5.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? | No | 126 | $0.090 | $9.45 | -$1.89 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat? | Yes | 150 | $0.070 | $8.25 | -$2.25 |
 Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.091 | $8.1 | -$10.1 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 186.34 | $0.026 | $7.92 | +$3.07 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.062 | $7.9 | -$4.53 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes | 370.39 | $0.049 | $7.78 | -$10.45 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.029 | $6.9 | +$1.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat? | No | 123.94 | $0.090 | $6.82 | -$4.34 |
| buy |
| 102.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $50 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No | buy | 200 | $0.081 | $16.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.075 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.050 | $3.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 49.41 | $0.058 | $2.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.38 | $0.017 | $0.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.014 | $1.96 | May 29, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 78.42 | $0.008 | $0.63 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.083 | $16.6 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 170.03 | $0.090 | $15.3 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.020 | $0.33 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.005 | $0.03 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 118.45 | $0.090 | $10.66 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 201.76 | $0.070 | $14.12 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 399.65 | $0.039 | $15.59 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.080 | $0.55 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 137.66 | $0.006 | $0.83 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.60% (HIGH) in April?Yes | sell | 27.12 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.35 | $0.020 | $2.07 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.034 | $6.8 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 209.26 | $0.070 | $14.65 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.027 | $5.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.036 | $7.2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.056 | $8.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 260.78 | $0.006 | $1.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.021 | $0.17 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.014 | $2.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.069 | $13.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.091 | $9.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 21, 2026 |