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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 54.99 | $0.777 | $39.87 | -$2.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.910 |
| $19.1 |
| +$0.9 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.098 | $4.97 | -$1.89 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.120 | $1.65 | -$1.95 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.050 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.081 | $1.51 | +$0.7 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | $0 |
 Will Trump resign before 2027? | Yes | 22.84 | $0.050 | $0.74 | -$0.4 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.016 | $0.35 | +$0.03 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 17.52 | $0.108 | $0.3 | -$1.6 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 389.98 | $0.004 | $0.19 | -$1.2 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120 | $0.005 | $0.18 | -$0.4 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.012 | $0.08 | -$0.05 |
 Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.001 | $0.05 | -$0.05 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 70 | $0.022 | $0.04 | -$1.48 |
| sell |
| 35 |
| $0.180 |
| $6.3 |
| 5d ago |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?No | sell | 65 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.930 | $1.82 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.935 | $18.7 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.016 | $0.64 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.062 | $1.23 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.009 | $0.32 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Canada recession before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.07 | $0.170 | $2.39 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.908 | $9.08 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.442 | $11.05 | May 1, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | May 1, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.041 | $1.65 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.472 | $4.72 | May 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.016 | $1.28 | May 1, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | May 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | May 1, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.440 | $6.6 | May 1, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.38 | $0.993 | $11.3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.660 | $23.1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.982 | $29.46 | May 1, 2026 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 57.27 | $0.950 | $54.39 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | May 1, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.990 | $9.89 | May 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.058 | $0.58 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.034 | $0.51 | May 1, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.100 | $0.25 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | May 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | May 1, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | May 1, 2026 |