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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 3.13 |
| $0.320 |
| $1 |
| Aug 19, 2024 |
Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Shark" in August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will 'Alien: Romulus' gross between $44m and $50m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 43.25 | $0.023 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Rob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Roaring Kitty charged in 2024?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Sony release the Playstation 5 Pro in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Capital gains tax increase before election day?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Kraken IPO in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Circle IPO in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Disney sues over Grok copyright in August?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
US adds less than 100k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
US bank failure by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
U.S. Recession in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.146 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
GPT-5 released in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Weird" or "Weirdo" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.137 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 19, 2024 |