Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 21.5% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 21.5% on 15 Aug 2024. $602.46K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Beautiful-Diamond | Yes | 12.32K |
| PolyMucket | Yes | 3.14K |
| Arietty | Yes | 1.66K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares Monkey Pox (MPXV) a pandemic between August 8 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information form the WHO, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/monkey-pox-pandemic-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.37K |
| beans2312312 | Yes | 840.18 |
| Charming-Contagion | Yes | 757.97 |
| Last-Drinking | Yes | 651.61 |
| Fab768a91f08a1AF60abCaaC0143a24168697DB4 | Yes | 564.62 |
| Str1ker | Yes | 531.41 |
| k-cool | Yes | 329.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
