Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 22 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 272 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 97% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 2.8% on 7 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 68.3% on 5 Oct 2024. $6.81M traded over the market's life.
538 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 10:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 22 Mar 2024 – 18 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2024 | 17.5% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| ajitkt | Yes | 2.15K |
| captainrabbit | No | 1.04K |
This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wiseguy | No | 800 |
| GB42 | Yes | 778.89 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 768.22 |
| Lunar Harbor 9AD1 | No | 725.73 |
| Bold Pioneer 8465 | No | 292.48 |
| Ivory Signal CD88 | Yes | 250.42 |
| Rapid Pioneer C83B | Yes | 248.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
