Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 87.5% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 87.5% on 11 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 52.5% on 17 Jul 2024. $77.07K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 87.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rundown-Issue | Yes | 3.3K |
| Stehny | Yes | 1.5K |
| s3th | Yes | 441.02 |
On June 10 Apple announced at its developer conference that it would integrate ChatGPT into its devices on iOS 18 (see https://www.theverge.com/2024/6/10/24174786/apple-openai-partnership-chatgpt-wwdc). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple integrates ChatGPT (or another OpenAI large language model product) into the iPhone by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"; only the release of the described integration will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chatgpt-integration-with-iphones-before-october
| Yes |
| 306 |
| decemberclevertang | Yes | 207.13 |
| Ryxn | Yes | 138.61 |
| Bohdan1284 | Yes | 32.26 |
| Titanium | Yes | 13.41 |
| Sarcastic-Bass | Yes | 5.88 |
| stonkki | Yes | 1.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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