Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 67% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 67% on 2 Aug 2024 and the low 1.5% on 30 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 43.5% on 3 Aug 2024. $24.64K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 7:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 2 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 67.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Maven 30CF | Yes | 699.47 |
| WWIII2024 | Yes | 50.96 |
| JohnLawrence | Yes | 49.05 |
| DaVinciChode | Yes | 40 |
| MarcEleanor | Yes | 29.41 |
| Sarcastic-Bass | Yes | 12.5 |
| ys-eth | Yes | 12.5 |
| Ch33t0s | Yes | 2.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the word "shark" between August 1, 5:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-august
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