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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.639 | $2.13K | Nov 19, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 4.17K |
| $0.641 |
| $2.67K |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Ohio | buy | 4.58K | $0.438 | $2.01K | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 6.16K | $0.810 | $4.99K | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 7.77K | $0.640 | $4.97K | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.6K | $0.728 | $4.81K | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 110.26 | $0.450 | $49.62 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during DNC speech?No | buy | 135.31 | $0.370 | $50.06 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" 3 or more times at his rally?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.278 | $299.9 | Aug 17, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.450 | $450 | Aug 16, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Gag" at his rally?Yes | buy | 332.58 | $0.370 | $123 | Aug 16, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?No | buy | 1K | $0.308 | $308 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" at his press conference?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Lisp" at his press conference?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.119 | $150 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.995 | $1.21K | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" at his press conference?No | buy | 605.5 | $0.200 | $121 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at his press conference?No | buy | 324.32 | $0.370 | $120 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.227 | $162.24 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Solana above $150 on August 16?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.176 | $79 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.175 | $212 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" at his press conference?No | buy | 466.59 | $0.429 | $200 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Tampon" at his press conference?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.280 | $400 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Shark" in August?Yes | buy | 699.47 | $0.214 | $150 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Solana above $150 on August 16?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.440 | $500 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.700 | $500 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Couch" in August?Yes | buy | 992.48 | $0.202 | $200 | Aug 14, 2024 |