Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 11% on 16 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. $90.93K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 11.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ER01MM | Yes | 76.92 |
| GGeazy | Yes | 7.14 |
| Sidelined-847 | Yes | 0.1 |
| MantaStyle | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump. If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands. If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes". Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump. The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/grok-bans-image-generation-of-trump-in-august
| MetaFox | Yes | 0.09 |
| ManaceMonk | Yes | 0.09 |
| TurnitUp | Yes | 0.09 |
| Dictator77 | Yes | 0.09 |
| Jordan555 | Yes | 0.09 |
| BigFatCat | Yes | 0.09 |
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