Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 30 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 369 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2023 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 77% on 29 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 28% on 30 Jun 2024. $21.96K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 369 points, 30 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2023 | 32.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LoseSavings | Yes | 165 |
| Shantaram | Yes | 83.33 |
| Indigo Pioneer 5DFB | Yes | 18.87 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that OpenAI has reached a settlement with the New York Times over copyright infringement issues by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-settlement-with-nyt-by-end-of-2024
| autist | Yes | 10.51 |
| GGS | Yes | 10.48 |
| native | Yes | 6.47 |
| FionaFlora | Yes | 5.88 |
| Kolmogorov.andrei | No | 5.75 |
| CITY-003 | Yes | 2.32 |
| Vibrant-Clip | Yes | 2.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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