Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 11 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 42.5% on 15 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 42% on 12 Jul 2024. $98.94K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 9:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 11 Jul 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2024 | 15.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BCI Group | Yes | 465.12 |
| kingfisher | Yes | 283.68 |
| nfa1 | Yes | 232.56 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Circle completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Circle to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Circle merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Circle completes an IPO by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-circle-ipo-in-2024
New to prediction markets?
| Luksozord | No | 112.13 |
| burberry | Yes | 45.45 |
| Fortunate-Marathon | No | 33.9 |
| BigHomie | Yes | 31.25 |
| MikeOxlong69 | Yes | 29.37 |
| Gripping-Dining | Yes | 15.79 |
| AutumnWhisper | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
