Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 52% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 53.5% on 17 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 53.5% on 17 Aug 2024. $1.32M traded over the market's life.
207 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 52.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pulica | Yes | 21.27K |
| yoloforhoes | Yes | 14.23K |
| Amber Ledger B961 | Yes | 13.36K |
| Imaginative-Tie | Yes | 11.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 in the territory of the United States of America reported between August 10 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/confirmed-case-of-monkeypox-in-us-by-aug-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| feitan | Yes | 11.32K |
| dfgdgdfg | Yes | 10K |
| Nagibator | Yes | 8.64K |
| YieldGuy | Yes | 6.04K |
| Anasdfas | Yes | 5.99K |
| Stehny | Yes | 5.91K |
