Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 166 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 24% on 23 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 24% on 23 Jul 2024. $138.73K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 3:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Outliers | Yes | 1.42K |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa111 | Yes | 1K |
| uncrossed-railroad | Yes | 331.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 300 |
| nubiz | Yes | 200 |
| Guenouata | Yes | 156.43 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 111.11 |
| Guapo | Yes | 100 |
| mobswedish | Yes | 27.27 |
| 13388 | Yes | 22.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
