
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62%. Yes opened at 70% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 70% on 15 Aug 2024 and the low 55.5% on 30 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 55.5% on 30 Aug 2024. $68.61K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 2:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 50%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 70.0% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from July to August 2024. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from July to August 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS August 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-inflation-0pt1-from-july-to-august-2024
| Gon-865 | Yes | 0.09 |
| ceeert | Yes | 0.07 |
| verascxa | No | 0.05 |
| helosax | No | 0.05 |
| BIGCHUNGUS-749 | No | 0.04 |
| mersasx | Yes | 0.03 |
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