Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 8 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 147 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 47% on 10 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 28.5% on 18 Nov 2024. $13.92K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 9:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 8 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2024 | 22.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Boz | Yes | 95.63 |
| completelyrandom | No | 69.99 |
| SaltyMariner | Yes | 34.48 |
On August 6, X announced they had filed an antitrust case against advertisers (see: https://x.com/lindayaX/status/1820838625245880634). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced X (formerly Twitter) has dropped its antitrust case titled "X Corp. v. World Federation of Advertisers et al" (7:24-cv-00114) by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/x-drops-antitrust-case-in-2024
| Yes |
| 27.78 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 12.99 |
| Identical-Organization | Yes | 10.2 |
| FionaFlora | Yes | 9.09 |
| LOLlol | Yes | 6.84 |
| dhfiuhdio | Yes | 4.99 |
| TaiQIU | Yes | 4.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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