Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.250 |
| $1 |
| Nov 11, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.662 | $1.8 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.663 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 7 swing states?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.417 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 2024 September hottest on record?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| 2024 September hottest on record?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.054 | $0.5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.530 | $4 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Harris | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 0.28 | $0.014 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 14 | $0.022 | $0.31 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.950 | $1.16 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during DNC speech?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Mass arrests at DNC?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.69 | $0.461 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Weird" or "Weirdo" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 X drops antitrust case in 2024?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Context" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Aug 22, 2024 |