Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 42.5% on 29 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 56.5% on 30 Aug 2024. $2.6M traded over the market's life.
241 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 42.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PePeBatista | No | 41.76K |
| pulica | No | 26.53K |
| SATOSHI | No | 15.69K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast. The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-2024
| No |
| 10.2K |
| gekko | No | 8.35K |
| fomobetter | No | 7.22K |
| dataviz | No | 5.8K |
| politcsbetttooor | No | 3.13K |
| Speedy-Knee | No | 1.18K |
| adwiz | No | 1.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
