Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 30 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 95 daily closes on record from 30 May 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 71.5% on 13 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 9.5% on 1 Aug 2024. $972.38K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 30 May 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2024 | 46.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Useless-Plastic | Yes | 11.57K |
| Amber Ledger B961 | Yes | 6.63K |
| Praisethelord | Yes | 1.72K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on August 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-before-september
| Yes |
| 1.69K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 500 |
| nutcracko | Yes | 374.77 |
| player1237 | Yes | 200 |
| 0xgeopol | Yes | 150 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 121.32 |
| ThatsAllFolks | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
