Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 30% on 23 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 19.5% on 26 Jul 2024. $11M traded over the market's life.
173 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2024 | 22.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Turbulent-Wound | Yes | 471.09K |
| oiayrXv8e | Yes | 394.19K |
| Lasting-Outrigger | Yes | 234.37K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-resigns-from-presidency-before-election
| Yes |
| 194.78K |
| Fearless-Care | Yes | 103.86K |
| 5423235 | Yes | 90.67K |
| Noisy-Circuit | Yes | 73.17K |
| Thorough-Flume | Yes | 65.05K |
| LaCuriosidad | Yes | 50K |
| bdakes | Yes | 35.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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