Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.9% on 1 Nov 2024 and the low 41.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 60.5% on 16 Aug 2024. $2.11M traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 5:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 80 points · 14 Aug 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | 41.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast. The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31
| aaddddd | No | 4.03K |
| pierceheaven | No | 3.35K |
| kamala-is-brat | No | 3.27K |
| RandomCryptoUser123 | No | 2.93K |
| 0xe8D2cA4 | No | 2.64K |
| Nagibator | No | 2.44K |
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