Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.5%. Yes opened at 87.5% on 22 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the price held at 87.5%. $485.99K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 82%–94%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2024 | 87.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AG1234 | No | 4.22K |
| Topgeneral | No | 2.16K |
| tstraya | No | 1.56K |
| Predictoooor | No | 420.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or endorses Trump for President of the United States during his Friday address. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. does not give a public address on August 23, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorses Trump before his public address and then reiterates his support during his address, this will qualify. However, endorsements directly before or after the address will not qualify alone - he must mention his support of Trump during the address. The resolution source for this market will be live footage of the address or official information from RFK Jr. and his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address
| Dodo | No | 302.46 |
| iioooiii | No | 207.26 |
| qvybyrycas | No | 109.12 |
| jkraybill | No | 76.92 |
| BOYB | No | 75 |
| ludaman | No | 59.73 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
