Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50% on 16 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 8 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11.5% on 17 Aug 2024. $26.5K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WgtnNZ | Yes | 698.84 |
| kingfisher | Yes | 309.34 |
| nastrudomas | Yes | 263.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Dotcom is extradited to any country by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited" to a country means Kim Dotcom must be extradited and physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the country. The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving countries, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kim-dotcom-extradited-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 170 |
| Weird-Jealousy | Yes | 50 |
| Powerful-Stair | Yes | 35.71 |
| fhgnrfbnbdh | Yes | 33 |
| cobrobrown | Yes | 17.4 |
| Lunar Sphinx B34E | Yes | 13.33 |
| Brrrrrrrrk | Yes | 6.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
