Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 28.94 | $0.691 | $20 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 237.53 |
| $0.421 |
| $100 |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.060 | $0.14 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Did Biden campaign use info from Iran hack?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.499 | $49.9 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate arrested in August?Yes | buy | 25.88 | $0.966 | $25 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.970 | $33.45 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Andrew Tate arrested in August?Yes | buy | 0.99 | $0.829 | $0.82 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.030 | $0.9 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK drop out before November?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Kamala | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will France recognize Palestine before September?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.024 | $0.5 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.930 | $9.5 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.036 | $0.5 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Netanyahu out by October 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Lucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Gabriel Attal next Prime Minister of France?No | sell | 1 | $0.913 | $0.91 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?No | buy | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.539 | $10 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" at his press conference?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Aug 15, 2024 |