Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 5:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
PavelIslimnitsky has made $140.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 5:52 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Aug 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | Yes | 4.13 | $0.242 | $4.1 | +$3.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 13:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 17:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 17:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 13:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $247.9 and losing ones cost $3.93 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $109.46 on “Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.04 on “Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 220 markets. Its open positions are worth $53.05 across 67 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $3.13 |
| +$2.13 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.13 | $0.639 | $2.92 | +$0.92 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.68 | $0.745 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.218 | $1.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.434 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.07 | $0.326 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.202 | $1.14 | -$0.86 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.156 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.29 | $0.436 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.200 |
| $1 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 2d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 2d ago |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.2 | $0.032 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will "The Odyssey" receive fewer than 8 Oscar nominations?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.101 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Yes" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 3–6%?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.063 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.