Analytics
Yes is at 25.5%, down 25 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25.5% on 1 Oct 2026.
$167.51 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $321.38, with a 29.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is alekspmeu with 35 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 47.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 7:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jeff-bezos-go-to-space-before-2028
| erFiodena |
| No |
| 23.69 |
| harman-r | Yes | 15 |
| alexbonu | No | 4.27 |
| PavelIslimnitsky | Yes | 2.56 |
| Little-Anguish | No | 1.26 |
| Luminous-Insectarium | No | 1.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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