Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:35 AM UTC.
Analytics
erFiodena has made $1.05K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:35 AM UTC.
$7.4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vance peak at Category 2? | Yes | 176 | $0.266 | $149.6 | +$102.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Yes | buy | 50.9 | $0.550 | $28 | 10h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 22:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 08:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.08K and losing ones cost $191.91 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $191.11 on “Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 10, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 619 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.28K across 123 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 61.72 |
| $0.810 |
| $60.52 |
| +$10.52 |
 Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026? | No | 112.68 | $0.399 | $56.9 | +$11.91 |
 Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 111.55 | $0.269 | $50.2 | +$20.19 |
| Will Vance peak at Category 5? | No | 44.94 | $0.890 | $44.67 | +$4.67 |
 Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027? | No | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | $0 |
 Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? | No | 50.29 | $0.597 | $39.48 | +$9.44 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? | Yes | 138.41 | $0.144 | $39.24 | +$19.24 |
 Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028? | No | 91.48 | $0.546 | $36.14 | -$13.87 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | No | 37.97 | $0.790 | $36.09 | +$6.09 |
 Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict? | No | 47.4 | $0.380 | $36.02 | +$18.01 |
 ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? | No | 42.53 | $0.705 | $35.73 | +$5.73 |
 Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 26-November 1? | No | 42.25 | $0.710 | $35.7 | +$5.7 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria? | No | 39.47 | $0.760 | $35.33 | +$5.33 |
 Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.97 | $0.790 | $35.31 | +$5.32 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | No | 35.27 | $0.851 | $34.25 | +$4.25 |
 Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? | No | 33.95 | $0.883 | $33.47 | +$3.48 |
 Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27? | No | 43.47 | $0.690 | $32.6 | +$2.61 |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 32.96 | $0.910 | $32.55 | +$2.55 |
 Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.29 | $0.850 | $32.29 | +$2.29 |
 Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.47 | $0.760 | $31.97 | +$1.97 |
 Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 55-64 years old? | Yes | 59.14 | $0.338 | $31.94 | +$11.94 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | No | 49.75 | $0.603 | $31.59 | +$1.6 |
 Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? | Sothebys | 34.46 | $0.449 | $30.5 | +$15.01 |
 EU debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30.35 | +$0.35 |
| sell |
| 38.03 |
| $0.370 |
| $14.07 |
| 11h ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.44 | $0.250 | $7.61 | 12h ago |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.370 | $0.93 | 14h ago |
 Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 12.72 | $0.750 | $9.54 | 14h ago |
| Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 5.73 | $0.750 | $4.3 | 15h ago |
| Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 8.17 | $0.720 | $5.88 | 16h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.019 | $0.19 | 17h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.019 | $0.05 | 17h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?No | buy | 11 | $0.340 | $3.74 | 17h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 17.49 | $0.560 | $9.79 | 19h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.590 | $0.58 | 19h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.590 | $1.29 | 19h ago |
 Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | 22h ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 2?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.288 | $36.28 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?No | buy | 101.93 | $0.981 | $99.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 2?No | buy | 21.42 | $0.700 | $14.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.500 | $1.26 | 1d ago |
 Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.38 | $0.310 | $15 | 1d ago |
 Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 1d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 73.75 | $0.160 | $11.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.48 | $0.310 | $14.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Yes | buy | 38.95 | $0.370 | $14.41 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.370 | $0.59 | 1d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | buy | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?No | buy | 15 | $0.620 | $9.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.440 | $0.79 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.600 | $4.09 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.560 | $7.38 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.560 | $3.82 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?No | sell | 10.76 | $0.690 | $7.42 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.600 | $4.61 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?Yes | buy | 19.31 | $0.390 | $7.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 1d ago |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.040 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.650 | $13.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 6.33 | $0.600 | $3.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.600 | $1.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.260 | $1.76 | 1d ago |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.040 | $0.32 | 1d ago |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.820 | $30.36 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 1d ago |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 1d ago |
 Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian MbilliCanelo | buy | 15 | $0.510 | $7.65 | 1d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.550 | $9.78 | 1d ago |
| Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.