Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | Yes | 121.13 | $0.746 | $70.26 | -$20.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.27 | $0.870 | $9.8 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 112.68 |
| $0.399 |
| $48.45 |
| +$3.46 |
 Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? | No | 112.39 | $0.120 | $47.2 | +$33.72 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | Yes | 121.31 | $0.198 | $37.61 | +$13.61 |
 Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? | No | 103.44 | $0.290 | $37.24 | +$7.24 |
 Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in September? | No | 46.29 | $0.540 | $37.03 | +$12.04 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | No | 42.24 | $0.710 | $31.89 | +$1.9 |
 Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31? | American Express | 36.46 | $0.551 | $31.54 | +$11.43 |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 44.74 | $0.447 | $27.74 | +$7.74 |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026? | No | 27.88 | $0.550 | $27.25 | +$11.92 |
| Will Trump say "Discord" in September? | No | 34.48 | $0.580 | $26.2 | +$6.21 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.85 | $0.343 | $24.51 | +$10.51 |
| Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September? | No | 26.64 | $0.830 | $24.51 | +$2.4 |
 Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall in Hawaii? | No | 24.69 | $0.810 | $24.04 | +$4.04 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24 | $0.280 | $23.92 | +$17.2 |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026? | No | 28.61 | $0.410 | $21.03 | +$9.29 |
 Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? | Yes | 46.15 | $0.130 | $20.54 | +$14.54 |
 Eric Swalwell charged by September 30? | No | 23.52 | $0.850 | $19.87 | -$0.12 |
 Will Trump say "Scottish Blood" this week? | Yes | 43.47 | $0.230 | $19.78 | +$9.78 |
 Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%? | No | 20.44 | $0.840 | $19.56 | +$2.39 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 19.51 | $0.949 | $19.38 | +$0.86 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | Yes | 42.61 | $0.352 | $19.17 | +$4.18 |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September? | No | 37.5 | $0.400 | $17.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.14 | $0.750 | $16.75 | +$2.39 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23? | No | 24.39 | $0.820 | $15.98 | -$4.02 |
| sell |
| 55 |
| $0.144 |
| $7.92 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.050 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | sell | 94.84 | $0.992 | $94.08 | 10d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Yes | buy | 14.39 | $0.770 | $11.08 | 10d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | sell | 31.61 | $0.992 | $31.36 | 10d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?Down | sell | 17 | $0.050 | $0.85 | 12d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | sell | 33.01 | $0.988 | $32.61 | 12d ago |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | sell | 34.91 | $0.580 | $20.25 | 13d ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Yes | sell | 21.96 | $0.150 | $3.29 | 13d ago |
 Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 13d ago |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.076 | $1.52 | 13d ago |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.97 | $0.740 | $24.4 | 14d ago |
 Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.120 | $1.01 | 14d ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.4 | $0.680 | $16.59 | 14d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.840 | $8.61 | 17d ago |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 24.28 | $0.270 | $6.56 | 17d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Typhoon"?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | 17d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?No | sell | 35 | $0.620 | $21.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 17d ago |
 Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.100 | $0.12 | 17d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.470 | $2.33 | 18d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?No | sell | 3.56 | $0.240 | $0.85 | 19d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Foster" 7+ times during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?No | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | 20d ago |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Foster" 7+ times during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?No | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | 20d ago |
 Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.150 | $1.74 | 22d ago |
| Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.160 | $1.86 | 22d ago |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | sell | 15.3 | $0.960 | $14.69 | 22d ago |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | sell | 31.7 | $0.961 | $30.46 | 22d ago |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.940 | $25.06 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Another World Cup card reversed?Yes | sell | 37.97 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Another World Cup card reversed?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?Yes | sell | 34.77 | $0.330 | $11.47 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.810 | $5.65 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?No | sell | 12.73 | $0.810 | $10.31 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | sell | 41.04 | $0.440 | $18.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Another World Cup card reversed?Yes | sell | 66.4 | $0.048 | $3.19 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. KaneKane | sell | 82.2 | $0.290 | $23.84 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Over | sell | 6.94 | $0.991 | $6.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.670 | $0.17 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.790 | $37.61 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 17.06 | $0.989 | $16.87 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.180 | $0.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |