Analytics
Yes is at 20%, down 1.5 points from 21.5% when the market opened on 18 Sep 2026.
Across the 35 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 19% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29.5%; a month before, 40%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 40% on 25 Sep 2026.
$386.87 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $145.23, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is TheBud with 95 shares; the largest No position is erFiodena with 50.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 21.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 19.0% |
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-convicted-in-corruption-trial
| AJSV |
| No |
| 20.61 |
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