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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 204.99 | $0.814 | $187.57 | +$20.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.790 | $47.4 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 199.99 |
| $0.724 |
| $174.99 |
| +$30.23 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.790 | $134.25 | +$15.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 145.35 | $0.782 | $127.18 | +$13.55 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 123.69 | $0.743 | $118.13 | +$26.23 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 120 | $0.830 | $115.98 | +$16.38 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 119.99 | $0.805 | $112.79 | +$16.2 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 120 | $0.829 | $111.6 | +$12.1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.93 | $0.819 | $105.94 | +$15.09 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $98.25 | +$29.25 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $95.95 | +$15.95 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 100 | $0.563 | $72.5 | +$16.2 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.940 | $57.3 | +$0.9 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.790 | $47.1 | -$0.3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 70 | $0.530 | $46.55 | +$9.45 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.478 | $35 | -$12.8 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 35.7 | $0.699 | $31.06 | +$6.12 |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Yes | 40 | $0.300 | $28.4 | +$16.4 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.290 | $26 | +$2.8 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 28.89 | $0.595 | $24.41 | +$7.22 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.093 | $12 | -$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.550 | $7.58 | -$19.93 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.270 | $2.7 | -$13.5 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | Yes | 46.57 | $0.120 | $1.82 | -$3.77 |
| buy |
| 30.7 |
| $0.700 |
| $21.49 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.940 | $56.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 91.11 | $0.730 | $66.51 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.490 | $34.3 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | 19d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 90 | $0.670 | $60.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.720 | $43.19 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.710 | $56.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.31 | $0.800 | $31.45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.750 | $27.75 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.740 | $17.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.310 | $18.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.650 | $39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.781 | $78.09 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 30 | $0.905 | $27.15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.889 | $17.78 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.357 | $35.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | May 26, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.660 | $39.6 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.944 | $37.76 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.942 | $37.68 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.737 | $44.22 | May 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | May 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 71.65 | $0.999 | $71.58 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.889 | $13.34 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.999 | $44.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.880 | $13.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |