Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
TheBud has made $345.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:14 PM UTC.
$26.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Jul 5, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 234.99 | $0.825 | $222.66 | +$28.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 3d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 18:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $919.4 and losing ones cost $931.18 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $91.11 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $224.1 on “Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 195 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.87K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 199.99 |
| $0.724 |
| $174.19 |
| +$29.43 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.790 | $134.25 | +$15.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 145.35 | $0.782 | $133.72 | +$20.09 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 123.69 | $0.743 | $117.57 | +$25.68 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 120 | $0.830 | $116.88 | +$17.28 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 119.99 | $0.805 | $111.83 | +$15.24 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 120 | $0.829 | $109.62 | +$10.12 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.93 | $0.819 | $107.16 | +$16.31 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $99.25 | +$19.25 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.611 | $95.5 | +$34.4 |
 Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | Opp. | 140 | $0.443 | $79.1 | +$17.1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 100 | $0.563 | $73.5 | +$17.2 |
 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.730 | $70.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 80 | $0.620 | $56.4 | +$6.8 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.790 | $52.2 | +$4.8 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.918 | $48.92 | +$3.02 |
 Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? | Yes | 94.71 | $0.150 | $30.78 | +$16.57 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 28.89 | $0.595 | $26.72 | +$9.53 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.550 | $7.18 | -$20.33 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.093 | $3.23 | -$10.77 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.270 | $1.95 | -$14.25 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | Yes | 46.57 | $0.120 | $1.49 | -$4.1 |
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp.| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.580 |
| $11.6 |
| 4d ago |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp. | buy | 94.48 | $0.420 | $39.68 | 8d ago |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp. | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 8d ago |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp. | buy | 15.52 | $0.420 | $6.52 | 8d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | 23d ago |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.918 | $45.89 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | 25d ago |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?Yes | buy | 19.42 | $0.150 | $2.91 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?Yes | buy | 75.29 | $0.150 | $11.29 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.59 | $0.290 | $22.21 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.290 | $0.99 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.790 | $47.4 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.7 | $0.700 | $21.49 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.940 | $56.4 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 91.11 | $0.730 | $66.51 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.490 | $34.3 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.790 | $118.5 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 90 | $0.670 | $60.3 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 47.44 | $0.981 | $46.54 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 24 | $0.760 | $18.24 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 51.13 | $0.690 | $35.28 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 16 | $0.690 | $11.04 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 12.87 | $0.690 | $8.88 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 76 | $0.760 | $57.76 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 14.56 | $0.760 | $11.07 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.830 | $42.17 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.760 | $4.13 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 19.18 | $0.830 | $15.92 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 72.92 | $0.810 | $59.07 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 27.08 | $0.810 | $21.93 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.830 | $58.1 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.720 | $43.19 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.