Analytics
TheBud has made $345.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 234.99 | $0.825 | $224.54 | +$30.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 10:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 10:25 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $919.4 and losing ones cost $931.18 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $91.11 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $224.1 on “Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?” (Yes).
It has traded 195 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.87K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 199.99 |
| $0.724 |
| $172.49 |
| +$27.73 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.790 | $134.25 | +$15.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 145.35 | $0.782 | $132.99 | +$19.36 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 123.69 | $0.743 | $117.57 | +$25.68 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 120 | $0.830 | $117.18 | +$17.58 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 119.99 | $0.805 | $111.71 | +$15.12 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.93 | $0.819 | $107.16 | +$16.31 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 120 | $0.829 | $103.8 | +$4.3 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $99.3 | +$19.3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.611 | $94.5 | +$33.4 |
 Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | Opp. | 140 | $0.443 | $78.4 | +$16.4 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 100 | $0.563 | $72.5 | +$16.2 |
 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.730 | $70 | -$3 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 80 | $0.620 | $57.2 | +$7.6 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.790 | $54.6 | +$7.2 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.918 | $48.74 | +$2.85 |
 Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? | Yes | 94.71 | $0.150 | $27.47 | +$13.26 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 28.89 | $0.595 | $26.72 | +$9.53 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.550 | $7.65 | -$19.85 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.093 | $3.45 | -$10.55 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.270 | $1.98 | -$14.22 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | Yes | 46.57 | $0.120 | $1.49 | -$4.1 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
