Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 12 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 4 Dec 2025.
The high was 15.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the low 3.9% on 14 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.5%; a month ago, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 6% on 11 Jan 2026.
$12.5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.91K since listing. The order book holds $1.11K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 272 trades, $540.34 bought Yes and $2.56K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 568eu45ryuththfg with 764 shares; the largest No position is PassiveStrike with 807. Ten wallets hold 62% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 2:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 296 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 15.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PassiveStrike | No | 806.54 |
| 568eu45ryuththfg | Yes | 763.71 |
| Tjs-358 | Yes | 701.52 |
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/costco-increases-hotdog-price-before-2027
| Quiet Meteor 2709 |
| No |
| 549.98 |
| DapperChapper | No | 466.4 |
| freemath | No | 380 |
| French-Dungeon | Yes | 292.46 |
| Bland-Plier | No | 274.04 |
| DBomb | No | 266.49 |
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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